Friday Q & A: Financial strategies during a downturn

It’s Friday, so it’s time for this week’s reader-submitted Q & A. If you’d like to submit a question, click here for more information or simply email a question.

With all that’s going on in the economy, I feel like I should be doing something differently.  Should I?

–Mike N., Tacoma, WA

STRAIGHTFORWARD ANSWER
You probably shouldn’t alter your investing strategy, but other financial changes could be appropriate.

More detailed explanation:

Investing During Uncertain Times

During periods of economic turbulence, much of the media’s attention is on the investment implications.  Not surprisingly, one of the most common and immediate reactions by most people is one of increased stress, since surely the “smarter” people have changed their investments in the new “climate.”

Relax. Deep breaths.

Provided you did your homework when you began to invest (specifically, that you chose an appropriate asset allocation) and that you periodically rebalance (review your investments annually to ensure that your original percentages still hold), there is no need to take immediate action simply because the word “recesssion,” the phrase “bear market,” or the oxymoron “repayments on sub-prime loans” are suddenly being uttered with greater frequency than a few months earlier.

Markets go up and markets go down.  If you began investing just a few years ago, it may have seemed that markets only went up.  But you knew (or at least certainly suspected) that they wouldn’t go up forever.  Still, a down market isn’t necessarily a bad thing for long-term investors, for it is during such periods that, by continuing to dollar cost average into your retirement plan, you purchase more shares at lower prices.   It is the shares purchased now, during down markets, that should have appreciated the most when you one day sell them during retirement.

Living During Uncertain Times

Although investing receives most of the media attention, other areas of personal finance are arguably more critical to re-evaluate given the changed economic environment. (Heck, that’s a key reason why investing is near the end of the process of learning how to live Beyond Paycheck to Paycheck.)

Here are some questions for you to consider in 2008:

  • Is your emergency fund big enough?

It makes sense to revisit this question now since the comfort level of keeping your job may have changed if, for example, you work in automotive or mortgage lending.  If you are let go, you won’t be too upset that you had recently increased your emergency fund.

  • Are you living within your means?

Of course this a question that’s good to ask at anytime, but especially today.  Getting your debt under control (and ideally eliminating the bad debt) is of immense importance if you were to suffer an economic hardship (such as loss of job, have a spouse who loses a job, have benefits reduced, suddenly receive less hours, etc.)  Note: these things don’t only happen to “someone else” in another field or with less education than you.

  • Are you negotiating?

Much has been made about how we’re in a buyer’s market for real estate.  It’s hard to argue that point, no matter where you live or the price of home you’re considering buying or selling.  But it’s a buyer’s market for most everything else as well - whether or not connected to a home purchase.  When the economy is down, less “stuff” is being sold.  But there’s still people who want and in many cases need to sell it.  Whether it’s a new car or servicing your old one, whether jewelry or furniture or just a plain old cell phone plan, don’t be afraid to haggle.  You could wind up saving big money.

Nervous? Don’t be. Unless you’re trying to get the McDonald’s french fries for less than is posted on the menu board, you won’t be the first person trying to get a discount or free add-on for the product or service in question.  Your worst case scenario (paying “sticker”) is no worse than what you’d owe if you didn’t even try in the first place.  Besides, do you really care about your reputation at the furniture store?

In a down economy, recession, uncertain time, or whatever you care to call 2008, it’s as important to stay the course when investing as it is to be opportunistic in the other areas of your financial life.

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Financially speaking, what have you changed or specifically not changed recently?

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Another saving strategy coming your way. Send one back?

Personally, I don’t travel overseas very much, but many folks do.

You: Even those living paycheck-to-paycheck?

Most folks departing on international flights charge their tickets. Think every passenger pays his/her bill in full each month?

You: Probably not.

If you’re a jet-setter of the international variety, you might enjoy and benefit from a quick read of Brett Arends’ recent ROI column A Tip for Overseas Travelers: Leave Your Cellphones Home. It’s another classic example of how spending a little bit of time can save you a lot of money yet not decrease the quality of your life one iota. That’s the kind of saving strategy I like best.

You: Fiscally responsible. Not cheap.

Exactly.

Have a saving strategy of your own you’d like to share? If there’s interest (and volume), we can make this a recurring feature every so often. So, if you’re on the fence: hop over it and share a saving strategy of yours. Pay it forward.

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To save . . . and how

This week’s Carnival of Personal Finance, which featured among its top Money Management articles my earlier post about Saving on One Income, is full of useful personal finance articles.  Buried as we are however (especially on a Monday) I’ll limit my list of recommended articles to my usual length: one.

If you have time for just one more article today, please consider My Two Dollar’s post  Following The Rule Of 10 Percent Is Easy And The Savings Add Up.  His well-made point about how saving 10% of your income frees up the rest of your life is a critical one to learn.  Whether the right answer is 10%, more, or less is a subject for another post. What’s indisputable is that the amount you’ll need to save is certainly greater than 0% and that the benefits are both financial and emotional.

If you’re having trouble identifying opportunities to save, he lists a few in the post.  Also, revisit the Top 10 Saving Strategies.  Between these two sources, if the desire is there, so, too, will be the means.

Don’t you think?

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Friday Q & A: Saving on one income

It’s Friday, so it’s time for this week’s reader-submitted Q & A. If you’d like to submit a question, click here for more information or simply email a question.

How can I possibly save on one income?

–Sue W., Clinton, NJ

STRAIGHTFORWARD ANSWER
You save on one income the same way you save on two incomes: spend less than you make.

More detailed explanation:

Saving is Simple

While not necessarily easy to accept, saving truly is simple. There aren’t any tricks. There aren’t any gimmicks.  If you spend more than you make you will always struggle. Period.  If you spend less than you make, you are — by definition — saving.  Many people think that the answer to their financial prayers is to make more money, be it via a second job, a spouse who begins to work for pay, or a big fat raise.

You: The lottery?

Also not a financial strategy.

The truth is that even the non-lottery income boosters typically don’t get it done; we find that we’re not saving much more after our income has increased.

You: Why?

Because just as soon as we make enough money to live comfortably, we want to live extravagantly.  Many people I meet today make a lot more money than they did ten years ago, yet continue to struggle financially.  In order to get control of your finances, you must look at your spending habits.

All or None? Don’t Go There

Some people who feel they can’t afford to save as much as they should (whatever that means), wind up saving nothing at all. Don’t fall into that trap.  You’re familiar with the bathwater, right?

You: Yes.  Dirty.

Absolutely, but you know not to throw out the baby with it.  Everybody can find five bucks to save today.  Five dollars.  It’s a start. Once you’ve found your five, keep at it. Do it for a few days or weeks. Then look for ten. After all, it’s only another five.  Soon enough, you’re on your way.

We all know the (spending) tortoise wins the race.  So stop chasing the (income) hare.

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Inflation stressing you out? Get the fax.

You: Dude, you spelled “facts” wrong up there.

Maybe it’s the stress. Ever think of that?

You: Stress? From inflation?

No. From blogging while I’m on vacation.

You: You shouldn’t do that. You’re the guy who talks about balance.

Maybe I’m not.

You: Not what?

It depends.

You: What depends?

There. I’ve distracted you from inflation.

You: I think I’m just confused generally.

That works too. Truth is, inflation shouldn’t stress you out.

You: But why not? Don’t you drive?

I drive. Not a lot, but enough to get to the gas station 2-3 times per month. So, yes, I absolutely notice gas prices. But I’m still not stressed out.

You: You’re so on vacation. Why aren’t you stressed by gas prices?

Because there’s nothing I can do about gas prices. It’s not something I even influence. You can only control what you can control.

Best-selling author James Geary writes a monthly column for the CFP Board. I was pleased to be a key source for his recently released July column about inflation. By reading it, I think you’ll see that while inflation is real, it’s not something which should dramatically impact your stress level. While there may be some opportunities to revisit with regard to your spending, they’re probably not in the way you think.

If you have a comment about the article, feel free to leave it below. Even though I’m not blogging from vacation, it may take me longer to respond than normal. But that’s okay. After all, why stress?

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How to stay poor at a carnival

This week’s Carnival of Personal Finance, hosted by You Need A Budget includes my article “Can I lower my tax withholdings?”.

In my completely unscientific but completely genuine opinion (and in a desire to keep your required reading to a minimum), this week’s one best “other” posting is 7 Ways to Stay Poor. Perhaps I enjoyed this post because LivingAlmostLarge concisely talks about how so many people focus on the little things. Sure, people make little mistakes. But putting too much emphasis on the small stuff while losing money hand over fist on the big stuff is a pure violation of Saving Strategy # 5: Major on the major, minor on the minor. It’s the same reason I’ve always screamed “Your Problem Isn’t Starbucks!”

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Once in a lifetime opportunity for new college grads

Congratulations! If you just graduated from college, there’s a good chance that you’ll make more money in 2008 then you did in 2007.

You: That’s what they tell me.

In fact, you’ll also make quite a bit more money in 2009 than 2008.

You: How do you know that? You know my raise?

Nope, but in all likelihood, you’ll work less than eight months full-time in 2008. In 2009, you’ll work the whole year. So even if you don’t get a raise at all, your income should dramatically increase from 2007 to 2008 and again from 2008 to 2009.

You: That’s cool, I guess. But where’s the opportunity?

Tax-planning.

You: Sounds boring.

It is boring. You want excitement, go here. That doesn’t work, try visiting here. You want tips that can help you financially, keep reading.

You: Okay. Go ahead, bore me.

Last week, I told you how to determine how little you can withhold without owing the IRS any interest or penalties. If you are a recent graduate who will make dramatically more each year than the previous, you have a major opportunity to increase your net pay right from the outset.

You: Increase my net pay? Maybe this isn’t as boring as I thought.

You don’t want a big income tax refund, right?

You: Right. I don’t. We covered why an income tax is a bad idea earlier.

If you just complete Form W-4 without any thought, you’ll probably put in “1″ for the number of allowances (line 5). As a result, you’ll wind up with a big refund, since the amount withheld each paycheck assumes that you’ll earn your salary for 12 months. Since you’ll only earn that salary for a few months of 2008, too much tax will be withheld. That’s the first reason why you’ll want to increase your allowances to lower your withholdings.

You: Is there a second reason?

<Think game show voice-over man speaking:> In fact there is!

<Back to normal voice, whatever you might think that is:>

Since you only need to withhold the amount of your prior year’s tax (virtually nothing in 2007 if you were a full-time student), you can even further increase your allowances and thereby dramatically reduce your withholdings.

Increasing your net pay in this manner will allow you to get more money in your hands when you need it most, thanks to the start-up expenses of life including a security deposit, work clothes, and initial emergency fund savings. Just make sure you have enough around next April to pay the piper (should you actually owe the IRS). You can use this handy withholding calculator to help you calculate your allowances (designed to make it so that you neither owe much or get a big refund) or you can spend four days and use the one available at this site.

Figuring this all out is worth it. Personally, I put 10 allowances my first two years of working after graduate school, and still got refunds each year. Not as big as they would have been without adjusting my withholding, but having that money in my initial paychecks to use as needed definitely allowed me to save far more far earlier in my career than I otherwise would have been able to.

Start saving right away by being fiscally responsible. There’s never a better time to develop good, smart financial habits than today.

Let me know what you think and how this works out for you. . .

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Friday Q & A: Can I lower my tax withholdings?

It’s Friday, so it’s time for this week’s reader-submitted Q & A. If you’d like to submit a question, click here for more information or simply email a question.

Michael-

I have a question about the W-4 and changing number of exemptions. I graduated from law school in May 2007 and started my salaried position in Nov. 07. So, if I was to change number of exemptions (I used the withholding calculator on your website and it said to change exemptions to “6″) - would I then OWE money to gov. next April instead of getting a refund? Would there be any other foreseeable disadvantages- any tax penalties?

I was just wondering because I have not had the same salary for several years and since I will be making more for 2008 than i did for 2007, would it be smart to change # of exemptions and take more $ now instead of bigger tax refund or could this backfire next April (could i owe a lot of money to government)?

Thanks so much-love your book!

–Renee R., Chicago, IL

STRAIGHTFORWARD ANSWER

Renee, the calculator tells everyone to put in “6″ so I’m not sure what to tell you.

Just kidding!

In determining the number of allowances to use, the calculator attempts to make it so that you will neither owe nor receive a refund.

More Detailed Explanation

This is a great question, Renee. As you’ve learned, consistently receiving an income tax refund is not a good thing. It amounts to you making an interest-free loan to the government. Don’t be so generous. Instead, adjust your allowances so that each one of your paychecks increases throughout the year. By increasing your allowances, you will reduce your tax withholdings. Since your gross pay is the same and now you are having less taxes withheld, you’ll find that your net pay (what you can spend or save) increases!

The calculator at Total Candor seeks to make it so that you’ll neither owe nor receive an income tax refund. Obviously, this is only as good as the assumptions you enter. Since it’s impossible for most people to predict their exact future income tax (i.e, how much interest they’ll earn or the precise amount of deductions they’ll be eligible for), more than likely you’ll owe a little bit or get a small refund come next April.

What about penalties? Interest?

The IRS rules for penalties and interest related to underpaying your tax are actually very simple.

Okay, not really, but I think most people can follow them.

In order to avoid owing any interest or penalties next year when you file, you must withhold from your paychecks at least the lower of the following two figures:

  • 90% of your total federal income tax for 2008
  • 100% of the total federal income tax you paid in 2007 (You can find this number at line 63 of your 2007 Form 1040. If, however, your 2007 Adjusted Gross Income - line 37 of your Form 1040 - was more than $150,000, then this second figure is actually 110% of your 2007 income tax).

You: Why is this so complicated?

535 members of Congress on the wall, 535 members of Congress. . .

As long as you withhold at least the minimum of those two amounts above, then you will have nothing to worry about with regard to underpayment interest and penalties. However, you could still owe a lot of income tax with your return next April IF you choose to withhold based on last year’s tax and your current year’s income tax is much higher. That’s a sound financial strategy (since it is better to pay later rather than sooner), but you have to be sure to have the money on hand come next April.

Soon, I’ll talk about part 2 of the aforementioned calculator - using it to increase your 401(k) contributions without lowering your net pay.

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What the heck is consumption smoothing?

That’s the question I asked myself when I finished reading through this week’s Carnival of Personal Finance to determine which one article is most worth sharing with you. (In addition, of course, to my own article about the endless correspondence I received related to the economic stimulus.)

Well, here it is: the best (completely subjective) article of the week from the carnival: Consumption Smoothing and You: Save While the Saving’s Good by FivecentNickel. Nickel discusses the concept of saving more while you can afford to while spending more when you need to. Consumption smoothing, in my mind, is something that happens automatically to those who save at all (but it’s good there’s a name to describe it).

You: Automatically?

Yes. People who save aggressively from an early age learn that once they have kids it’s nearly impossible to save as much as they did earlier in their lives. (Note: Personal experience: kids are expensive, even if you’re cheap. Even if you focus on the free stuff. After all, a family of four eats about twice what a married couple eats. Plus, if your child likes organic strawberries - look out!)

On the other hand, if you didn’t save when you were younger, consumption smoothing really won’t apply to you. Instead, you’re more likely to simply struggle to save your whole life as you slowly realize that, despite a growing income, your needs increase even faster.

Net: consumption smoothing works great - so long as you save when you can most afford to. For most people (even those with student loans), that means when they first start out in the “real world.”

Your take?

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Again with the air conditioning?

Just about two weeks after I paid over $$$ to replace the condenser on my money-sucking $aturn, recharge the AC and assorted other AC stuff I don’t understand, my wife informs me that the AC isn’t working again. While I’m highly disappointed, I’m thinking “Hey, they said there was a 12 months, 12,000 mile warranty on repairs. Since it hasn’t been 12 days or 120 miles, I should be good here.”

Wrong!

Something else broke with the AC.

Of course

This time, it’s the proverbial “crack in the line.” I have the repair guy on the line for about 20 minutes pestering him as to what else could possibly go wrong with my $aturn that is going to cost me big $$$ considering it has just under 80,000 miles on it. Quite frankly, the list is longer than I’d like. Still, with two little girls, I have to have AC and I figure if I try to trade in a car without the AC working, it’ll hurt me on the trade-in value anyway. So I fix it. Money-sucking $aturn takes another few hundred bucks.

I told the repair guy that I was paying him more a month than I’d be paying the bank on a new car loan. He didn’t argue.

I think I’ve reached my limit, but it probably depends on what comes next (the need for a second car, what type of thing goes wrong, how long it is between now and then, and so on).

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What’s more annoying, expensive, and less predictable than car repair expenses?

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